Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.865138 4.464487 5.126722 5.912879 6.821024 7.837569 9.062474
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.116104 3.912987 4.869402 6.102603 7.652152 9.536989 12.007641
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.466005 3.329668 4.443432 5.986671 8.073314 10.802448 14.653314
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.968013 2.834479 4.025638 5.785539 8.326162 11.871719 17.215957
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.691306 2.582720 3.881309 5.915133 9.031297 13.644467 21.029360
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.415143 2.278949 3.605364 5.795997 9.339476 14.875300 24.238147
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.296822 2.193768 3.639935 6.148915 10.416994 17.426871 29.905622
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.173185 2.077015 3.601540 6.369907 11.304314 19.793489 35.641838
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.037619 1.916319 3.461909 6.390204 11.841556 21.634451 40.746395
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.876170 1.682996 3.158572 6.066899 11.704847 22.249511 43.699207
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.817526 1.630641 3.174370 6.334696 12.704266 25.088025 51.303921
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.787402 1.628063 3.282078 6.793249 14.138274 28.958058 61.553181
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.723718 1.552078 3.242104 6.964600 15.052453 31.999377 70.754842
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.655113 1.455340 3.146114 7.005391 15.703154 34.606144 79.497485
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.571844 1.313835 2.934854 6.763192 15.698874 35.810119 85.330033
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.496856 1.178896 2.717367 6.471334 15.532637 36.622134 90.385617
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.459295 1.124730 2.673586 6.576007 16.311569 39.729729 101.504783
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.409569 1.033648 2.530427 6.418985 16.430892 41.285497 109.031047
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.396276 1.030475 2.597447 6.794239 17.944083 46.505891 126.935021
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.375954 1.006203 2.608676 7.028412 19.131256 51.087384 143.952727
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.346756 0.954085 2.541355 7.044454 19.739614 54.250511 157.627021
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.303990 0.858708 2.346922 6.683953 19.254502 54.388502 162.718950
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.292935 0.849758 2.383644 6.976865 20.668444 60.025937 184.985747